Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 0
Burnley

Mundle (26')
Neill (40'), Foster (54'), Rusyn (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Egan Riley (9'), Hume (51'), Rodriguez (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 4-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, August 18 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Cardiff
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Burnley
50.18% ( -0.07)	24.06% ( -0.01)	25.75% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.85% (

0.11)

46.15% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.55% (

0.1)

68.45% (

-0.1)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

0.01)

18.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39% (

0.02)

49.61% (

-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

0.13)

31.9% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

0.14)

68.34% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 50.18%

Burnley 25.75%

Draw 24.06%

Sunderland	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.18%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 25.75%