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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Stoke

Watson (7', 86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koumas (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Sunderland
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke City

This could turn into a tense game between two teams who are gradually losing confidence in getting wins on the board. However, Sunderland have more reason to throw caution to the wind and it may lead to them delivering a late victory at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
47.78% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 26.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.81% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)52.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)74.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.39% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (0.054999999999993 0.05)34.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.54% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Stoke City 26.45%
    Draw 25.76%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Stoke City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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