We said: Suriname 0-1 Costa Rica
One of the main constants with the Costa Ricans, regardless of who is in charge, has been their solid defensive structure, and we believe they will narrowly defeat an improved Suriname side, who have played a little more aggressively under Menzo and tend to leave themselves exposed to a counter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.