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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Both sides will head into the final day with plenty of confidence thanks to their recent improvements, and the desire to end on a win and wrap up 13th spot, and we cannot quite pick a winner as a result, instead opting for a low-scoring draw between two in-form teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
52.26% (-1.018 -1.02) 25.2% (0.316 0.32) 22.53% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 48.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.519 -0.52)53.66% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.44 -0.44)75.15% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.62 -0.62)20.54% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.988 -0.99)53.04% (0.986 0.99)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (0.40000000000001 0.4)38.86% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (0.375 0.38)75.59% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 52.26%
    Millwall 22.53%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.53%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Millwall
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Swansea
0-0
Millwall
Bennett (37'), Downes (83')
Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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