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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Both sides will head into the final day with plenty of confidence thanks to their recent improvements, and the desire to end on a win and wrap up 13th spot, and we cannot quite pick a winner as a result, instead opting for a low-scoring draw between two in-form teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
52.26% (-1.018 -1.02) 25.2% (0.316 0.32) 22.53% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 48.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.519 -0.52)53.66% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.44 -0.44)75.15% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.62 -0.62)20.54% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.988 -0.99)53.04% (0.986 0.99)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (0.40000000000001 0.4)38.86% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (0.375 0.38)75.59% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 52.26%
    Millwall 22.53%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.53%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Millwall
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Swansea
0-0
Millwall
Bennett (37'), Downes (83')
Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5Watford168262524126
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
18Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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