Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 3Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 2-1 Swansea City
This has all the makings of being a hard-fought contest, particularly with Swansea having got back on track last weekend. Nevertheless, Millwall may prove tough to beat on home territory, leading us to opt for a narrow triumph for the East Londoners. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
39.44% ( 0.18) | 27.04% ( -0.03) | 33.52% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( 0.09) | 54.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( 0.07) | 76.09% ( -0.08) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.14) | 27.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.18) | 62.53% ( -0.19) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.06) | 30.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.06) | 66.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 39.44%
Swansea City 33.52%
Draw 27.04%
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.52% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Swansea
Millwall
57.7%Draw
26.9%Swansea City
15.4%26
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
