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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
53.86% ( -0.48) | 25.15% ( 0.34) | 20.98% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% ( -1.1) | 55.01% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% ( -0.91) | 76.28% ( 0.91) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.62) | 20.42% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( -1) | 52.86% ( 0.99) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.81% ( -0.48) | 41.19% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.27% ( -0.43) | 77.73% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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