Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
61.95% ( 0) | 21.62% ( -0) | 16.43% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.46% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( 0.01) | 47.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( 0.01) | 69.59% ( -0.01) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% ( 0) | 14.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% ( 0.01) | 42.97% ( -0.01) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% ( 0) | 41.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% ( 0) | 78.42% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.94% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |