Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
49.16% ( -0.15) | 24.69% ( 0.12) | 26.15% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.88% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.48% ( -0.46) | 48.52% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.35% ( -0.42) | 70.65% ( 0.42) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% ( -0.24) | 19.77% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.18% ( -0.39) | 51.82% ( 0.39) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% ( -0.22) | 32.84% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( -0.25) | 69.41% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |