Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes1 - 1Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-2 Fiorentina
A formidable proposition on home turf, Vitoria can expect to pick up the point they need to ensure a last-16 spot. Fiorentina have been beaten by Empoli and Bologna in recent weeks, so their sheen of invincibility seems to be wearing off - other results could decide whether they slip into the playoffs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Fiorentina |
42.07% ( -0.48) | 27.49% ( -0.01) | 30.44% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
