MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 02:37:30| >> :600:3408558:3408558:
Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Empoli logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Empoli

Kean (59'), Sottil (70')
Gosens (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ekong (4'), Esposito (75')
Marianucci (36'), Pezzella (82')
Empoli win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Pafos
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Empoli
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Empoli

Aside from their comprehensive loss in Milan last time out, Empoli have been one of Serie A's most durable sides this season, and they have a good recent record against Fiorentina. The hosts should still edge through via a close-fought derby win, though, having proven their ability to progress in cup competitions over the past couple of years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.63%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawEmpoli
70.1% (1.56 1.56) 18.76% (-0.35 -0.35) 11.14% (-1.216 -1.22)
Both teams to score 44.39% (-2.738 -2.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-1.554 -1.55)46.53% (1.55 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-1.475 -1.48)68.8% (1.47 1.47)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)12.07% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.41% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)37.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48% (-3.104 -3.1)49.51% (3.098 3.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68% (-2.282 -2.28)84.32% (2.277 2.28)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.09%
    Empoli 11.14%
    Draw 18.76%
FiorentinaDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 13.36% (0.84 0.84)
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.8 0.8)
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.585 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.306 0.31)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.276 -0.28)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 70.09%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.382 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.389 -0.39)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.14%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Empoli

Fiorentina
85.4%
Draw
11.5%
Empoli
3.1%
96
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 5pm
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
rhs 2.0
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