Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
63.84% ( 0.01) | 20.13% ( 0.01) | 16.03% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0.08) | 41.54% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0.08) | 63.94% ( 0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( -0.02) | 12.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.83% ( -0.04) | 38.16% ( 0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.04% ( -0.07) | 38.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% ( -0.07) | 75.68% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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