Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
63.84% ( 0.01) | 20.13% ( 0.01) | 16.03% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0.08) | 41.54% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0.08) | 63.94% ( 0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( -0.02) | 12.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.83% ( -0.04) | 38.16% ( 0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.04% ( -0.07) | 38.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% ( -0.07) | 75.68% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |