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Estoril
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Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estoril
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Marques (69' pen.)
Marques (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mendes (8'), Silva (22'), Oliveira (42')
Ribeiro (28'), Silva (55'), Charles (87'), Andre (90+5'), Handel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 3-3 Estoril
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Looking at past results between Estoril and Vitoria de Guimaraes, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota this weekend. While we expect both sides to go all out in search of maximum points, we are backing Pacheco's men to extend their dominance over the hosts and claim the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
30.82% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 25.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 43.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)50.21% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)72.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)30.24% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.4% (0.092999999999989 0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.01% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.81% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 30.82%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.45%
    Draw 25.72%
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.82%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.45%

How you voted: Estoril vs Guimaraes

Estoril Praia
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
3-2
Estoril
Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes
Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')
Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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