Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
49.93% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0) | 25.28% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( -0.01) | 49.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( -0.01) | 71.63% ( 0.01) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48% ( 0.01) | 52% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.86% ( -0.02) | 34.14% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.17% ( -0.02) | 70.83% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |