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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
47.35% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( -0.01) | 27.94% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( 0.07) | 47.38% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( 0.06) | 69.6% ( -0.06) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% ( 0.02) | 20.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.7% ( 0.03) | 52.3% ( -0.03) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( 0.05) | 30.86% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.86% ( 0.06) | 67.14% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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