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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
44.9% ( 0.18) | 26.09% ( 0.12) | 29.01% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% ( -0.62) | 52.48% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( -0.53) | 74.15% ( 0.53) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.7% ( -0.18) | 23.29% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.76% ( -0.27) | 57.24% ( 0.27) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.29% ( -0.54) | 32.71% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% ( -0.61) | 69.26% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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