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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Watford logo

Luton
3 - 0
Watford

Clark (11'), Morris (47'), Brown (90+1')
Clark (16'), Doughty (35'), Hashioka (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Issouf Bayo (6'), Porteous (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Watford

 While Watford may be enjoying a strong start under Cleverley, we cannot ignore their form away from Vicarage Road. With that in mind, Luton could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, kick-starting their campaign and relieving some pressure on Edwards in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWatford
43.34% (0.381 0.38) 25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 31.66% (-0.295 -0.29)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.26300000000001 0.26)46.74% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.246 0.25)69% (-0.244 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.288 0.29)21.58% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.441 0.44)54.66% (-0.439 -0.44)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)27.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)63.57% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.34%
    Watford 31.66%
    Draw 24.99%
Luton TownDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Luton vs Watford

Luton Town
45.3%
Draw
14.0%
Watford
40.7%
86
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Luton
2-0
Watford
Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
4-0
Luton
Davis (3'), Troost-Ekong (45'), Pedro (57'), Sarr (79')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Watford
Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')
> Match Report
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Watford
1-0
Luton
Pedro (35')

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')
> Match Report
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Watford
1-1
Luton
King (36')
Doyley (76'), King (90')
Brkovic (73')
Showunmi (37'), Howard (42'), Heikkinen (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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