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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Watford logo

Luton
3 - 0
Watford

Clark (11'), Morris (47'), Brown (90+1')
Clark (16'), Doughty (35'), Hashioka (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Issouf Bayo (6'), Porteous (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Watford

 While Watford may be enjoying a strong start under Cleverley, we cannot ignore their form away from Vicarage Road. With that in mind, Luton could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, kick-starting their campaign and relieving some pressure on Edwards in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWatford
43.34% (0.381 0.38) 25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 31.66% (-0.295 -0.29)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.26300000000001 0.26)46.74% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.246 0.25)69% (-0.244 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.288 0.29)21.58% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.441 0.44)54.66% (-0.439 -0.44)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)27.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)63.57% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.34%
    Watford 31.66%
    Draw 24.99%
Luton TownDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Luton vs Watford

Luton Town
45.3%
Draw
14.0%
Watford
40.7%
86
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Luton
2-0
Watford
Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
4-0
Luton
Davis (3'), Troost-Ekong (45'), Pedro (57'), Sarr (79')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Watford
Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')
> Match Report
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Watford
1-0
Luton
Pedro (35')

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')
> Match Report
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Watford
1-1
Luton
King (36')
Doyley (76'), King (90')
Brkovic (73')
Showunmi (37'), Howard (42'), Heikkinen (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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