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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Watford logo

Luton
3 - 0
Watford

Clark (11'), Morris (47'), Brown (90+1')
Clark (16'), Doughty (35'), Hashioka (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Issouf Bayo (6'), Porteous (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Watford

 While Watford may be enjoying a strong start under Cleverley, we cannot ignore their form away from Vicarage Road. With that in mind, Luton could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, kick-starting their campaign and relieving some pressure on Edwards in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWatford
43.34% (0.381 0.38) 25% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 31.66% (-0.295 -0.29)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.26300000000001 0.26)46.74% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.246 0.25)69% (-0.244 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.288 0.29)21.58% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.441 0.44)54.66% (-0.439 -0.44)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)27.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)63.57% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.34%
    Watford 31.66%
    Draw 24.99%
Luton TownDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Luton vs Watford

Luton Town
45.3%
Draw
14.0%
Watford
40.7%
86
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Luton
2-0
Watford
Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
4-0
Luton
Davis (3'), Troost-Ekong (45'), Pedro (57'), Sarr (79')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Watford
Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')
> Match Report
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Watford
1-0
Luton
Pedro (35')

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')
> Match Report
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Watford
1-1
Luton
King (36')
Doyley (76'), King (90')
Brkovic (73')
Showunmi (37'), Howard (42'), Heikkinen (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522
> Championship Full Table


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