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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

Although Middlesbrough will be on a high from their win at West Brom, a second away test in quick succession may be a tough ask. With that in mind, we feel that Watford may edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, even with having less recovery time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
36.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.79% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 37.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (0.299 0.3)49.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (0.268 0.27)71.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.13799999999999 0.14)26.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.183 0.18)61.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17699999999999 0.18)25.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.242 0.24)60.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.51%
    Middlesbrough 37.69%
    Draw 25.79%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
48.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
36.2%
47
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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