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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Sunderland |
39.87% ( -0.03) | 26.22% ( -0.01) | 33.91% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% ( 0.05) | 51.38% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.8% ( 0.04) | 73.19% ( -0.04) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% ( 0.01) | 25.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% ( 0.01) | 60.11% ( -0.01) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( 0.04) | 28.78% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.37% ( 0.05) | 64.63% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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