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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Coventry City |
39.47% ( -0.77) | 27.77% ( 0.14) | 32.76% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.31% ( -0.39) | 57.69% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.56% ( -0.31) | 78.44% ( 0.31) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( -0.61) | 28.5% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.72% ( -0.78) | 64.28% ( 0.79) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.29% ( 0.24) | 32.71% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% ( 0.27) | 69.27% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.47% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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