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League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Aasgaard (31')
Smith (28'), Norburn (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dadi Bodvarsson (33'), Burrell (59')
Dodgson (4'), Webster (8'), Watt (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion

As the season goes on, the likelihood of a miraculous escape by Albion is becoming less likely, though desperation may inspire a spirited performance from the visitors on Tuesday. Given the Latics' dire home form, it is unlikely that the Brewers will get many better opportunities than this to put points on the board, but it will still be a tough fight for all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
52.64% (-2.015 -2.02) 25.86% (0.927 0.93) 21.49% (1.088 1.09)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.1 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-2.215 -2.22)57.05% (2.213 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-1.799 -1.8)77.94% (1.799 1.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-1.72 -1.72)21.75% (1.718 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-2.694 -2.69)54.93% (2.694 2.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.125 -0.13)41.83% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.11 -0.11)78.29% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 52.64%
    Burton Albion 21.49%
    Draw 25.86%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.88% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.37 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.744 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.623 0.62)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Burton Albion
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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