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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Exeter City

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Exeter

Bodin (8')
Chauke (21'), Sraha (59'), Gilligan (69'), Vancooten (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magennis (45+2'), Alli (71')
Woods (13'), McDonald (43'), Alli (81'), Richards (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter City

With this the start of yet another new era for Burton, Bowyer will be eager to make an immediate impact. However, regardless of their own poor form, we feel that the visitors to the Pirelli Stadium have the qualities to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
31.84% (-0.189 -0.19) 27.01% (-0.026 -0.03) 41.15% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 50.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (0.052999999999997 0.05)55.05% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (0.042000000000002 0.04)76.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.104 -0.1)32% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-0.119 -0.12)68.46% (0.12 0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (0.14 0.14)26.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (0.187 0.19)61.47% (-0.185 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 31.84%
    Exeter City 41.15%
    Draw 27.01%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.84%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.15%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Exeter

Burton Albion
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Cole (41')
Sweeney (30'), Aitchison (43'), Carroll (65'), Cole (83')
Jules (45+6')

Caprice (2'), Harper (55'), Carayol (83')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Burton Albion
0-1
Exeter

Powell (26'), Moon (59'), Seddon (81')
Seddon (90+4')
Trevitt (75')
Cole (45+3')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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