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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burton Albion

Birmingham
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Stansfield (26' pen.), Crocombe (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Godwin-Malife (45+1'), Crocombe (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-0 Burton Albion

With a sold-out St Andrew's crowd expecting a routine win, Birmingham should be more than capable of breezing past the attentions of Burton. The Brewers are likely to enjoy just a slither of the ball in the Second City and could be overwhelmed by the occasion as they battle the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
73.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 16.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 10.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.35% (0.577 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (0.563 0.56)38.31% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (0.596 0.6)60.59% (-0.598 -0.6)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (0.13200000000001 0.13)9.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.21% (0.31999999999999 0.32)30.79% (-0.322 -0.32)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (0.554 0.55)45.74% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (0.429 0.43)81.52% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 73.27%
    Burton Albion 10.29%
    Draw 16.43%
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.05 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 73.27%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.43%
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.29%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burton Albion

Birmingham City
87.1%
Draw
6.5%
Burton Albion
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 2pm
Club Friendlies
Burton Albion
1-2
Birmingham
Hamer (74')
Hall (37'), Cosgrove (87')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Birmingham
1-0
Burton Albion
Gallagher (56')
Kieftenbeld (37'), Grounds (67'), Davis (90')

Brayford (65'), Turner (75'), Sordell (83')
Aug 18, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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