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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Burton Albion |
73.27% ( -0.03) | 16.43% ( -0.06) | 10.29% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.69% ( 0.56) | 38.31% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% ( 0.6) | 60.59% ( -0.6) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.95% ( 0.13) | 9.05% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.21% ( 0.32) | 30.79% ( -0.32) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.26% ( 0.55) | 45.74% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.48% ( 0.43) | 81.52% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 73.27% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 16.43% | 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |