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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Birmingham logo

Wigan
0 - 3
Birmingham


Sibbick (42'), Kerr (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
May (18', 30'), Thor Willumsson (61')
Iwata (12'), Davies (13'), Harris (44'), Laird (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Wigan
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

With Wigan having a longer break from action, they should come into this match suitably refreshed. Nevertheless, we are backing Blues to battle their way to a potentially-crucial three points to kick-start their title charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
26.9% (-0.192 -0.19) 26.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 46.59% (0.261 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (0.136 0.14)55.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (0.11 0.11)76.46% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)35.83% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)72.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.18100000000001 0.18)23.69% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.26000000000001 0.26)57.8% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 26.9%
    Birmingham City 46.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Wigan AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.9%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.22%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.59%

How you voted: Wigan vs Birmingham

Wigan Athletic
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Birmingham City
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Birmingham
2-1
Wigan
May (18'), Wright (90+1')
Aasgaard (66')
Tickle (69'), Maloney (70'), Kerr (82'), McManaman (90+3')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Wigan
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (59')
Bacuna (4')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Wigan
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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