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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
26.9% ( -0.19) | 26.5% ( -0.07) | 46.59% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 48.97% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.76% ( 0.14) | 55.23% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.53% ( 0.11) | 76.46% ( -0.11) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.17% ( -0.09) | 35.83% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.39% ( -0.09) | 72.6% ( 0.09) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( 0.18) | 23.69% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.26) | 57.8% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.9% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 12.22% 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 42 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Reading | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 40 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 37 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
15 | Stevenage | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 34 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 21 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 21 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |