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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Union Berlin logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Baku (71')
Wimmer (15')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vogt (45+2'), Benes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin

Despite Wolfsburg historically flourishing in this fixture, their winless run at the Volkswagen Arena and Union conceding a mere five goals on the road (three against Bayern) point to a possible low-scoring affair on Saturday. Thus, we expect the spoils to be shared in this gameweek 11 encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawUnion Berlin
38.87% (-0.064 -0.06) 27.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 34.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (0.084000000000003 0.08)54.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94% (0.07 0.07)76.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)27.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.094999999999999 0.09)30.34% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.11300000000001 0.11)66.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 38.86%
    Union Berlin 34.07%
    Draw 27.05%
WolfsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin

Wolfsburg
45.5%
Draw
31.8%
Union Berlin
22.7%
44
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Union Berlin
1-0
Wolfsburg
Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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