We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
Despite Wolfsburg historically flourishing in this fixture, their winless run at the Volkswagen Arena and Union conceding a mere five goals on the road (three against Bayern) point to a possible low-scoring affair on Saturday.
Thus, we expect the spoils to be shared in this gameweek 11 encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.