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Bundesliga
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Union Berlin logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
Union Berlin


Komenda (66'), Remberg (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemlein (18'), Rothe (89')
Ronnow (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 0-1 Union Berlin

 While Union Berlin have struggled in front of goal, their defensive record is outstanding, and it would not be surprising if they limited Holstein Kiel's opportunities in the final third. Although the hosts have been in somewhat better form of late, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat given their poor home record and their defensive frailty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawUnion Berlin
30.38% (-0.428 -0.43) 25.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 44.11% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.064 -0.06)49.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)71.48% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.328 -0.33)30.15% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.395 -0.39)66.3% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.185 0.19)22.36% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (0.277 0.28)55.85% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 30.39%
    Union Berlin 44.11%
    Draw 25.49%
Holstein KielDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.39%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 10.09% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.035 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.11%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin

Holstein Kiel
12.7%
Draw
20.3%
Union Berlin
67.1%
79
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Union Berlin

van den Bergh (77'), Dehm (80'), Muhling (84')
Kroos (27'), Andersson (90')
Trimmel (55'), Schmiedebach (70'), Mees (83')
Sep 25, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
2-0
Holstein Kiel
Polter (90'), Promel (90')
Lenz (67')

Wahl (57')
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Union Berlin
Weilandt (9'), Drexler (19')
Weilandt (7'), Lewerenz (71')
Kinsombi (84')
Skrzybski (32'), Polter (85' pen.)
Hartel (22'), Kroos (71')
Aug 4, 2017 5.30pm
Union Berlin
4-3
Holstein Kiel
Kreilach (14'), Skrzybski (24', 52'), Hedlund (27')
Kroos (56'), Trimmel (81')
Schindler (12'), Pedersen (16' og.), Drexler (32')
Muhling (55'), Lenz (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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