MX23RW : Sunday, March 30 03:03:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

Without their home form, Union would certainly still be in the bottom three, and they will come into this clash as slight favourites to make it four home wins in a row. While it should be a close encounter, a fifth straight draw for Wolfsburg would be remarkable, but they have not enjoyed much success at this stadium, and that could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
44.83% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 26.04% (0.114 0.11) 29.13% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-0.579 -0.58)52.25% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (-0.502 -0.5)73.95% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.202 -0.2)23.23% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)57.14% (0.285 0.28)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)32.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.524 -0.52)69.02% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 44.82%
    Wolfsburg 29.13%
    Draw 26.04%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
Draw
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
52.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wolfsburg
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Awoniyi (24' og.)

Mohwald (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern27205278265265
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen27178262342859
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt27146755401548
4Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
5Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach27134104440443
6RB Leipzig2711974134742
7Freiburg2612683638-242
8Augsburg2710983036-639
9Wolfsburg2710894941838
10Stuttgart27107104744337
11Werder Bremen27106114353-1036
12Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2769123349-1627
15St Pauli2774162233-1125
16Heidenheim2764173252-2022
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2746172756-2918
18Holstein Kiel2745183867-2917


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