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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Kane (15' pen., 51'), Coman (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kemlein (31'), Khedira (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 2-0 Union Berlin

Despite their impressive defensive record, it is difficult to see how Union Berlin can keep Bayern Munich from scoring on Saturday given the hosts' rampant offensive displays this season. If the visitors were to concede first, it would not be surprising if they struggled to create many chances given their poor showings in the final third this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
74.06% (-0.274 -0.27) 16.18% (0.182 0.18) 9.75% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.17% (-0.585 -0.59)38.83% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)61.14% (0.615 0.62)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)8.99% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.34% (-0.499 -0.5)30.66% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.84% (-0.212 -0.21)47.16% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (-0.162 -0.16)82.6% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.05%
    Union Berlin 9.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 9.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.68% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 16.18%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 9.75%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
87.1%
Draw
9.4%
Union Berlin
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
1-5
Bayern
Vertessen (90')
Bjelica (45+1')
Goretzka (29'), Kane (45+1'), Muller (53', 66'), Tel (61')
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bayern
1-0
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg147342019124
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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