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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Birmingham logo

Wrexham
1 - 1
Birmingham

Rathbone (9')
Rathbone (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dykes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wrexham and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City

Unbeaten at their home pitch in League One this season, Wrexham are unlikely to be seriously fazed by the arrival of the league leaders on Thursday night. Without key midfielders and attackers, Birmingham might need to hold on at times in North Wales, although they should be good enough for a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
28.93% (-0.307 -0.31) 26.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 44.63% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.291 -0.29)53.9% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.245 -0.25)75.36% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)33.51% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.423 -0.42)70.15% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.31%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 28.93%
    Birmingham City 44.63%
    Draw 26.43%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Birmingham

Wrexham
39.7%
Draw
28.6%
Birmingham City
31.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
3-1
Wrexham
Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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