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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Peterborough United |
44.11% ( 0.5) | 24.31% ( -0.19) | 31.57% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( 0.75) | 43.66% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% ( 0.73) | 66.05% ( -0.74) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% ( 0.53) | 19.94% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.89% ( 0.85) | 52.1% ( -0.85) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% ( 0.17) | 26.48% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% ( 0.23) | 61.67% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |