Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Lens |
16.52% ( -0.6) | 23.05% ( -0.21) | 60.43% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( -0.12) | 52.88% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( -0.11) | 74.49% ( 0.1) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.84% ( -0.84) | 45.16% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% ( -0.68) | 81.06% ( 0.67) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( 0.24) | 17.14% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( 0.42) | 47.37% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.52% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 13.65% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 12.03% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |