MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 05:36:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Lens logo

Auxerre
1 - 3
Lens

Niang (71')
Jubal (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Claude-Maurice (19', 48'), Openda (78')
Abdul Samed (6'), Haidara (69'), Gradit (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Auxerre
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-1 Lens

With second place now assured and nothing significant left to fight for, it would only be natural for Lens to take their foot off the gas a tad, and any complacency should no doubt be capitalised on by an Auxerre side fighting for their lives. Haise's side have often flattered to deceive on the road as well, and while we can envisage a fired-up Auxerre gleaning a point on the final day, such an outcome could still drop them below the dotted line depending on results in Brittany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawLens
16.52% (-0.597 -0.6) 23.05% (-0.207 -0.21) 60.43% (0.8 0.8)
Both teams to score 45.44% (-0.562 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.123 -0.12)52.88% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.105 -0.11)74.49% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.84% (-0.84 -0.84)45.16% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.676 -0.68)81.06% (0.672 0.67)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.23699999999999 0.24)17.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.419 0.42)47.37% (-0.424 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 16.52%
    Lens 60.42%
    Draw 23.04%
AuxerreDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.52%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 13.65% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 12.03% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.08% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.42%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Lens

Auxerre
20.8%
Draw
26.4%
Lens
52.8%
53
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 4pm
gameweek 19
Lens
1-0
Auxerre
Frankowski (59' pen.)
Mar 14, 2020 2pm
gameweek 29
Auxerre
P-P
Lens
Oct 21, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Lens
0-0
Auxerre

Cahuzac (56')

Barreto (50'), Yattara (54')
Mar 9, 2019 2pm
gameweek 28
Lens
2-0
Auxerre
Gomis (37' pen.), Kyei (78')
Fortes (84'), Haidara (88')

Bellugou (36'), Arcus (45'), Mancini (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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