Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
50.29% ( -0.24) | 24.58% ( -0.03) | 25.13% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.13% ( 0.33) | 48.86% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( 0.3) | 70.96% ( -0.3) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.55% ( 0.03) | 19.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.71% ( 0.05) | 51.29% ( -0.05) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% ( 0.4) | 33.86% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% ( 0.43) | 70.53% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |