MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:36:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
AJ Auxerre

Brest
1 - 0
Auxerre

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Brest
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Auxerre

With both sides fighting for survival at the bottom end of the table, Brest and Auxerre look set to play out a tense and cagey draw at the Stade Francis-Le Ble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.

Result
BrestDrawAuxerre
45.07% (-0.254 -0.25) 25.76% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 29.17% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (0.049999999999997 0.05)51.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.044 0.04)72.95% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)22.62% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.143 -0.14)56.25% (0.141 0.14)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.199 0.2)31.87% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (0.23 0.23)68.31% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Brest 45.06%
    Auxerre 29.17%
    Draw 25.76%
BrestDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Brest vs Auxerre

Brest
52.9%
Draw
29.4%
Auxerre
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
gameweek 9
Auxerre
1-1
Brest
Niang (86' pen.)
Jeanvier (4')
Slimani (64')
Feb 11, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Brest
1-0
Auxerre
Tacalfred (12' og.)
Castelletto (36'), Charbonnier (66')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Brest

Arcus (27'), Philippoteaux (85')
Weber (60'), Charbonnier (61')
Autret (29'), Chardonnet (45'), Charbonnier (85')
Mar 9, 2018 7pm
Auxerre
1-2
Brest
Adeoti (57')
Toure (61'), Polomat (87')
Faussurier (45'), Diallo (68')
Belaud (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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