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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
1 - 1
Monaco

Sanchez (47')
Veretout (66'), Rongier (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veretout (17' og.)
Diatta (54'), Golovin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 15 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-2 Monaco

 Both teams are coming off strong showings last weekend for different reasons, and as good as Marseille have been at home, Les Monegasques have fared well on the road over this campaign, with only one domestic defeat all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
49.92% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)46.79% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.087 -0.09)69.05% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)18.79% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.2% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)32.16% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)68.64% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 49.91%
    Monaco 25.85%
    Draw 24.23%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.85%

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
53.3%
Draw
30.0%
Monaco
16.7%
90
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
Sanchez (78')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Monaco
3-1
Marseille
Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')
Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')
Dec 12, 2020 4pm
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Lille1777226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre176372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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