Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.