Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-5 Monaco
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Brest 1-0 Metz
Metz have won on their previous two visits here, scoring six goals in the process, but with Brest's defence currently the toughest to breach in all of France, a repeat scenario looks unlikely. Going eight games unbeaten at home has seen Brest take 18 points, and against a lowly Metz, an additional three are to be expected, with another clean sheet to boot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Metz |
52.65% ( -0.13) | 25.21% ( 0.04) | 22.13% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.07% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.91% ( -0.05) | 54.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -0.04) | 75.51% ( 0.03) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.07) | 20.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.94% ( -0.11) | 53.05% ( 0.11) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( 0.06) | 39.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.81% ( 0.06) | 76.18% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 52.65%
Metz 22.13%
Draw 25.2%
| Brest | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 52.65% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.13% |
How you voted: Brest vs Metz
Brest
77.1%Draw
20.0%Metz
2.9%35
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Metz
0-1
Brest
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Brest
1-2
Metz
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
2-4
Metz
Boulaya (36'), Sarr (74'), Ndiaga Yade (81'), Goncalves (88' pen.)
Ndiaga Yade (89'), Fofana (90+3'), Boulaya (90+3')
Ndiaga Yade (89'), Fofana (90+3'), Boulaya (90+3')
