Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.41%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
12.55% ( 0.06) | 20.55% ( 0.02) | 66.9% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 43.23% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.43% ( 0.03) | 50.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.02) | 72.49% ( -0.03) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.4% ( 0.12) | 49.59% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.62% ( 0.08) | 84.37% ( -0.09) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.76% ( -0.02) | 14.23% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.01% ( -0.04) | 41.98% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 12.55% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 13.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 66.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |