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Lens logo
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PSG logo

Lens
1 - 1
PSG

N'Zola (66')
Still (58'), Khusanov (75'), N'Zola (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramos (70')
Hakimi (67'), Marquinhos (75')
PSG win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Lens
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 2-4 PSG
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

 In front of what should be a thrilling atmosphere in Northern France, unbeaten runaway Ligue 1 leaders PSG should face a difficult encounter against Still's men, who themselves have proven difficult to beat for much of the season. PSG have already beaten Lens this season though, as well as being on a four-game winning streak against the Blood and Gold, and they could just have enough to extend their impressive domestic unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Lens had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
30.79% (-1.207 -1.21) 24.69% (-0.343 -0.34) 44.52% (1.552 1.55)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.611 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (1.045 1.05)45.72% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (0.988 0.99)68.04% (-0.985 -0.98)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)28% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)63.65% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (1.143 1.14)20.62% (-1.143 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (1.774 1.77)53.17% (-1.773 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Lens 30.79%
    Paris Saint-Germain 44.52%
    Draw 24.69%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.391 -0.39)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.161 0.16)
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.22 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.158 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.52%

How you voted: Lens vs PSG

Lens
16.0%
Draw
8.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
76.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
PSG
1-0
Lens
Dembele (4')
Marquinhos (57')

Khusanov (45+1'), Still (45+5'), Gradit (47'), Diouf (62'), Danso (86')
Khusanov (60')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lens
0-2
PSG

Gradit (45+3')
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
> Match Report
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
3-1
PSG
Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Ekitike (8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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