Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Strasbourg |
32.75% ( 0.18) | 26.89% ( 0.02) | 40.37% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( -0.02) | 54.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( -0.02) | 75.72% ( 0.02) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( 0.12) | 31.01% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( 0.13) | 67.32% ( -0.13) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( -0.12) | 26.42% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( -0.15) | 61.58% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.75% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |