Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Strasbourg |
32.75% ( 0.18) | 26.89% ( 0.02) | 40.37% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( -0.02) | 54.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( -0.02) | 75.72% ( 0.02) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( 0.12) | 31.01% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( 0.13) | 67.32% ( -0.13) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( -0.12) | 26.42% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( -0.15) | 61.58% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.75% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |