MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 04:32:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Oceane
Strasbourg

Le Havre
0 - 3
Strasbourg

FT(HT: 0-2)
Diarra (28'), Nanasi (32'), Santos (90')
Sobol (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Reims
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 0-1 Strasbourg

There is little to separate the teams in the Ligue 1 standings, so this should be a tight encounter between two clubs both in need of three points. Strasbourg have struggled away from home this year, but we are backing them to get their first away win against a Le Havre side that have found it difficult to score goals this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawStrasbourg
32.75% (0.183 0.18) 26.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 40.37% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)75.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.116 0.12)31.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.133 0.13)67.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)26.42% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.154 -0.15)61.58% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 32.75%
    Strasbourg 40.36%
    Draw 26.88%
Le HavreDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.75%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Strasbourg

Le Havre
30.8%
Draw
25.6%
Strasbourg
43.6%
39
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 32
Le Havre
3-1
Strasbourg
Kechta (24', 65'), Ayew (90+6')
Salmier (41'), Kechta (54'), Desmas (88')
Guilbert (86')
Sissoko (75')
Feb 7, 2024 7.30pm
Round of 16
Strasbourg
3-1
Le Havre
Bakwa (21'), Emegha (36'), Senaya (90')
Sissoko (31')
Ayew (30')
Ayew (17'), N'Diaye (39')
Kuzyaev (80')
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Strasbourg
2-1
Le Havre
Emegha (21'), Sylla (90+7')
Sissoko (26'), Perrin (40'), Delaine (73')
Salmier (49')
Salmier (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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