MX23RW : Monday, May 6 05:11:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Le Havre

Lens
1 - 1
Le Havre

Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Le Havre

Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
57.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 19.54% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.03% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (0.044 0.04)71.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)16.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.041 0.04)76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.27%
    Le Havre 19.54%
    Draw 23.17%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.54%

How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre

Lens
91.9%
Draw
2.7%
Le Havre
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lens
0-0
Le Havre
Teka (69'), Doucoure (74')
Bain (34'), Youga (58'), Fontaine (66')
Youga (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!