Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre1 - 0Toulouse
We said: Le Havre 1-2 Toulouse
Barring their Europa League disappointment against Benfica last month, Toulouse are arguably in the best form we have seen all season and come into this match having beaten three of the top five sides in succession. Le Havre, on the other hand, have lost four on the bounce ahead of this match and we feel they are likely to suffer a fifth consecutive defeat in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Toulouse |
41.12% ( 0.2) | 25.88% ( -0.05) | 33% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
