Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
We said: Lorient 1-2 Le Havre
Lorient have been shipping goals of late, and we can imagine that trend continuing against a Le Havre side who are full of confidence following three-straight victories.
The visitors will be fancying their chances of extending their winning streak to four matches on Sunday, and we reckon that Elsner's side will do just that.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62% . A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%) . The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%) . The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood .
Result Lorient Draw Le Havre 33.09% ( 0.17) 26.29% ( 0.02) 40.62% ( -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.01)
48.17% ( -0.03) 51.83% ( 0.02)
26.41% ( -0.02) 73.59% ( 0.02)
70.47% ( 0.1) 29.52% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.46% ( 0.12) 65.54% ( -0.13)
74.85% ( -0.11) 25.14% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.14% ( -0.16) 59.85% ( 0.15)
Lorient 33.09%
Le Havre 40.61%
Draw 26.28%
Lorient Draw Le Havre 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.09% 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.61%
How you voted: Lorient vs Le Havre
57
rhs 2.0
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