Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse2 - 1Nice
We said: Toulouse 1-1 Nice
While Toulouse should back themselves to nick another victory over one of Ligue 1's leading sides, the spoils could be shared on Saturday, extending Nice's winless run to five games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
26.41% ( 0.13) | 25.51% ( -0.08) | 48.08% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.41) | 51.68% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( 0.35) | 73.46% ( -0.35) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( 0.33) | 34.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.99% ( 0.35) | 71.01% ( -0.35) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( 0.15) | 21.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.44% ( 0.22) | 54.56% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 26.41%
Nice 48.08%
Draw 25.51%
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.08% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Nice
Toulouse
38.1%Draw
35.7%Nice
26.2%42
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 12pm
May 21, 2023 2pm
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Dec 21, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nice
3-0
Toulouse
