MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:53:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Clermont Foot

Lens
2 - 1
Clermont

Said (60'), Fofana (68')
Abdul Samed (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abdul Samed (39' og.)
Kyei (42'), Gastien (45+1'), Andric (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Clermont

Les Lanciers have shown plenty of poise on the road so far this season, much more than on home soil, but their quality in the attacking third of late has let them down. Given the form that Lens are currently in, we are tipping the scales in favour of the home team, who have been sharp defensively and in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawClermont
61.54% (-0.242 -0.24) 22.43% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 16.03% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (0.067999999999998 0.07)51.3% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)73.13% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)16.2% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.106 -0.11)45.69% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (0.285 0.29)44.86% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (0.228 0.23)80.82% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Lens 61.53%
    Clermont 16.03%
    Draw 22.42%
LensDrawClermont
1-0 @ 13.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 12.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 61.53%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.03%

How you voted: Lens vs Clermont

Lens
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Clermont
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 4pm
Lens
3-1
Clermont
Danso (39'), Sotoca (45+3'), Haidara (58')
Haidara (82')
Rashani (9')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Clermont
2-2
Lens
Magnin (41'), Bayo (65')
Gastien (9'), Ogier (38'), Gastien (62'), Hamel (81'), Gastien (85'), Dossou (86')
Diaby (84')
Gastien (12' og.), Fofana (47')
Danso (15'), Haidara (36'), Clauss (56'), Frankowski (69'), Jean (90+5')
Jan 25, 2020 2pm
Lens
1-1
Clermont
Jean (71')
Doucoure (15'), Cahuzac (32')
Grbic (56')
Gomis (39'), Hountondji (86')
Aug 27, 2019 8.05pm
Lens
2-2
Clermont
Lens win 5-4 on penalties
Sotoca (43'), Mesloub (61' pen.)
Mauricio (86'), Doucoure (90')
Rajot (12'), Gonzalez (48')
Zedadka (45'), Cissokho (85'), Jeannin (86')
Zedadka (95')
Aug 10, 2019 2pm
Clermont
1-1
Lens
Grbic (60' pen.)
Gastien (35'), Hountondji (77')
Mauricio (88' pen.)
Michelin (6'), Sotoca (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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