Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
61.54% ( -0.24) | 22.43% ( 0.06) | 16.03% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.21% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.7% ( 0.07) | 51.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.87% ( 0.06) | 73.13% ( -0.06) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( -0.06) | 16.2% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( -0.11) | 45.69% ( 0.11) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% ( 0.29) | 44.86% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% ( 0.23) | 80.82% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.53% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |