MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:55:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Nice

Lens
1 - 3
Nice

Wahi (76')
Aguilar (37'), Frankowski (62'), Khusanov (65'), Thomasson (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moffi (11', 67' pen.), Thuram (53')
Thuram (40'), Perraud (46'), Rosario (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Brest
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lens 2-0 Nice

There is certainly no shortage of talent in Nice's attacking ranks, but Farioli's charges have been haunted by an offensive curse on the road all season long and will be unlikely to get much change out of Haise's newly-fortified backline. With Medina returning to a sturdy setup and Samba also proving his worth as an excellent last line of defence, the refreshed hosts ought to make light work of their out-of-sorts and fatigued visitors, thereby boosting their Champions League hopes while further harming Les Aiglons'. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawNice
41.74% (-0.428 -0.43) 25.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 32.72% (0.358 0.36)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (-0.19 -0.19)48.75% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (-0.173 -0.17)70.85% (0.172 0.17)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.292 -0.29)23.2% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.428 -0.43)57.09% (0.427 0.43)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (0.137 0.14)28.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (0.175 0.17)63.96% (-0.175 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lens 41.74%
    Nice 32.72%
    Draw 25.53%
LensDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Lens vs Nice

Lens
80.7%
Draw
13.6%
Nice
5.7%
88
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Nice
2-0
Lens
Moffi (76' pen., 78')
Lotomba (26'), Dante (90+5')

Khusanov (88'), Guilavogui (90+7')
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lens
0-1
Nice
Laborde (57')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nice
0-0
Lens
Apr 10, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
3-0
Nice
Kalimuendo (51', 67'), Doucoure (55')
Haise (18'), Doucoure (31'), Sotoca (66')
Haidara (17')

Guessand (38'), Gouiri (45+3'), Lemina (50')
Lemina (57'), Dante (90+1')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Nice
2-1
Lens
Lemina (63'), Kluivert (79')
Kalimuendo (30')
Haidara (23'), Gradit (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!