MX23RW : Monday, January 13 05:09:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lille

Lens
1 - 1
Lille

Fonte (41' og.)
Fofana (23'), Gradit (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
David (69')
Gomes (2'), Fonte (27'), Andre (44'), Alexsandro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Brest
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Lille

In spite of their faltering form, home advantage in this Derby du Nord could count heavily in the favour of Lens, who are rock-solid in front of their own fans. Only PSG can better their home stats this term, so a momentum-shifting win may be on the cards - keeping them ahead of Lille in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
42.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.8% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)47.69% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)69.88% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.034000000000006 0.03)22.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.048000000000002 0.05)55.54% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.046999999999997 0.05)28.32% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.058 0.06)64.05% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lens 42.98%
    Lille 31.8%
    Draw 25.22%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.8%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
75.6%
Draw
7.3%
Lille
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)

Cabot (4')
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
Jan 4, 2022 8pm
Round of 32
Lens
2-2
Lille
Lens win 4-3 on penalties
Fofana (67', 90+5')
Fofana (90+5')
Onana (28', 33')
Mandava (72'), Grbic (90')
Sep 18, 2021 4pm
Lens
1-0
Lille
Frankowski (74')
Leca (57'), Sotoca (88')

Mandava (22'), Celik (90+3')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Lens
0-3
Lille

Michelin (29'), Fortes (67')
Michelin (35')
Yilmaz (4' pen., 40'), David (60')
Araujo (39'), Fonte (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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