Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient4 - 1Lille
We said: Lorient 1-1 Lille
Although Lille remain unbeaten in 2023-24, Fonseca's side have not been overly convincing during the early stages of the season, relying on late goals to get results. Given that Lorient have recorded a couple of low-scoring draws this term - preventing PSG and Nice from winning - we can see the hosts picking up another point this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lille |
18.05% ( 0.23) | 23.54% ( 0.28) | 58.4% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
