Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Roazhon Park
Rennes2 - 2Lille
We said: Rennes 2-1 Lille
Given that both sides have made a strong start to the 2023-24 campaign, we can see Rennes and Lille serving up an intriguing contest at Roazhon Park. Les Rennais have already scored seven goals in two home games this term, so we expect the hosts to edge out the visitors in what promises to be a closely-fought battle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
41.56% ( 0.91) | 25.01% ( 0.11) | 33.43% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.74) | 46.23% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.71) | 68.52% ( 0.71) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 0.12) | 22.2% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.18) | 55.61% ( -0.18) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.97) | 26.58% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.2% ( -1.3) | 61.8% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Rennes 41.56%
Lille 33.43%
Draw 25%
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.43% |
How you voted: Rennes vs Lille
Rennes
69.2%Draw
15.4%Lille
15.4%13
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Nov 6, 2022 4.05pm
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Rennes
1-2
Lille
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
