Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
73.29% (![]() | 17.05% (![]() | 9.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% (![]() | 43.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.37% (![]() | 65.63% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.69% (![]() | 10.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.26% (![]() | 33.73% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.71% (![]() | 50.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.14% (![]() | 84.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 13.38% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.13% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 73.28% | 1-1 @ 8.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.05% | 0-1 @ 3.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |