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Lille
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Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Nantes

Lille
2 - 1
Nantes

David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

With both sides in need of a result at the back end of the campaign, we certainly anticipate a competitive encounter but expect Fonseca's side to have too much quality for their struggling visitors and take all three points on home turf as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
73.29% (1.098 1.1) 17.05% (-0.554 -0.55) 9.66% (-0.5451 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.85400000000001 0.85)43.23% (-0.855 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.839 0.84)65.63% (-0.839 -0.84)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (0.509 0.51)10.31% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (1.147 1.15)33.73% (-1.147 -1.15)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.71% (-0.546 -0.55)50.28% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.14% (-0.378 -0.38)84.85% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 73.28%
    Nantes 9.66%
    Draw 17.05%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 13.38% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Nantes
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
Feb 7, 2021 4pm
gameweek 24
Nantes
0-2
Lille

Coco (29'), Corchia (31'), Louza (32')
David (9', 83')
Sep 25, 2020 8pm
gameweek 5
Lille
2-0
Nantes
Pallois (43' og.), Yilmaz (87' pen.)

Appiah (85'), Girotto (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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