Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Lille2 - 1Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes
With both sides in need of a result at the back end of the campaign, we certainly anticipate a competitive encounter but expect Fonseca's side to have too much quality for their struggling visitors and take all three points on home turf as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
73.29% ( 1.1) | 17.05% ( -0.55) | 9.66% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 0.85) | 43.23% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.37% ( 0.84) | 65.63% ( -0.84) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.69% ( 0.51) | 10.31% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.26% ( 1.15) | 33.73% ( -1.15) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.55) | 50.28% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.14% ( -0.38) | 84.85% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 73.28%
Nantes 9.66%
Draw 17.05%
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.95% Total : 73.28% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.05% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.66% |
How you voted: Lille vs Nantes
Lille
77.3%Draw
13.6%Nantes
9.1%22
