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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Nantes

Toulouse
0 - 0
Nantes


Desler (90+2')
FT

Girotto (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Nantes

Given Toulouse's recent wobbles on home soil, Nantes are expected to give the hosts a run for their money, but the visitors will struggle to claim all three points on Sunday. Sitting two points from safety with four matches remaining, the Canaries must go for broke at Stadium de Toulouse, but their attacking endeavours will leave them vulnerable in defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
44.66% (-0.328 -0.33) 25.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.13% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.271 -0.27)48.3% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (-0.25 -0.25)70.44% (0.251 0.25)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)21.62% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.402 -0.4)54.74% (0.404 0.4)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.75% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.66%
    Nantes 30.13%
    Draw 25.21%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse
70.8%
Draw
4.2%
Nantes
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Victor (26'), Pallois (38'), Descamps (43')
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
Dejaegere (58'), Desler (88')
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
Toure (43' pen.), Blas (53')
Bamba (40')
Leya Iseka (97' pen.)
Kone (8'), Isimat-Mirin (48')
Kone (23')
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-0
Nantes
Sylla (55')
Jullien (20'), Shoji (34'), Amian (40')

Ie (24')
Girotto (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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