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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Nantes

Toulouse
0 - 0
Nantes


Desler (90+2')
FT

Girotto (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Nantes

Given Toulouse's recent wobbles on home soil, Nantes are expected to give the hosts a run for their money, but the visitors will struggle to claim all three points on Sunday. Sitting two points from safety with four matches remaining, the Canaries must go for broke at Stadium de Toulouse, but their attacking endeavours will leave them vulnerable in defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
44.66% (-0.328 -0.33) 25.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.13% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.271 -0.27)48.3% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (-0.25 -0.25)70.44% (0.251 0.25)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)21.62% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.402 -0.4)54.74% (0.404 0.4)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.75% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.66%
    Nantes 30.13%
    Draw 25.21%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse
70.8%
Draw
4.2%
Nantes
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Victor (26'), Pallois (38'), Descamps (43')
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
Dejaegere (58'), Desler (88')
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
Toure (43' pen.), Blas (53')
Bamba (40')
Leya Iseka (97' pen.)
Kone (8'), Isimat-Mirin (48')
Kone (23')
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-0
Nantes
Sylla (55')
Jullien (20'), Shoji (34'), Amian (40')

Ie (24')
Girotto (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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