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Le Havre
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Nantes

Metz
3 - 1
Nantes

Van Den Kerkhof (3'), Elisor (28'), Asoro (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simon (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 2-2 Nantes

Both sets of players will be hoping for a positive result before the two-week international break and are likely to go all out for the victory in this one. With two of the worst defences in the league on display in this match, a fair bit of goalmouth action at both ends can be expected here, but we feel that these sides will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNantes
44.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.164 -0.16)56.58% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (-0.131 -0.13)77.56% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.117 -0.12)25.07% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.162 -0.16)59.75% (0.158 0.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)35.66% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (-0.061 -0.06)72.43% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Metz 44.96%
    Nantes 28%
    Draw 27.03%
MetzDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28%

How you voted: Metz vs Nantes

Metz
20.0%
Draw
36.7%
Nantes
43.3%
30
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Amadou (59')
Pajot (86')
Cyprien (40'), Traore (51')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
2-0
Metz
Kolo (12'), Blas (49')
Blas (53'), Coco (90')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
2-0
Nantes
Leya Iseka (35'), Boulaya (90+3')
Goncalves (29'), Sarr (85'), Boulaya (89')

Coco (66'), Girotto (90')
Nov 22, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
1-1
Metz
Kolo (29')
Abeid (41'), Da Silva (45+4')
Leya Iseka (45+4' pen.)
Fofana (71'), Oukidja (85'), Boye (87')
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Nantes
0-0
Metz
Udol (57')
Boulaya (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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