Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Nantes |
44.96% ( -0.09) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 28% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.41% ( -0.16) | 56.58% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% ( -0.13) | 77.56% ( 0.13) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( -0.12) | 25.07% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.16) | 59.75% ( 0.16) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% ( -0.06) | 35.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% ( -0.06) | 72.43% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |